Section

Environmental Safety  Construction and Town Economy

Title

THE ANALYSIS THE DYNAMICS OF DEVELOPMENT THE CITY ECOSYSTEM AND THE CONDITIONS OF FORMATION SAFETY AND COMFORTABLE URBAN ENVIRONMENT

Сontributors

S.N. Volkova, D. of Agricul. Sc., Professor, Head of the Department at the Kursk State Agricultural Academy, This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.,

E. E. Sivak, D. of Agricul. Sc., Professor at the Kursk State Agricultural Academy, This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.,

N. V. Bakaeva, D. of Tech. Sc., Associate Professor, Head of the Department at the South-West State University (Kursk), This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.,

A. V. Shleenko, Cand. of Econ. Sc., Associate Professor at the South-West State University (Kursk), This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.,

M. I. Pashkova, Cand. of Agricul. Sc., Associate Professor at the Kursk State Agricultural Academy, This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

Abstract

In article a mathematical apparatus for modeling and forecasting the city ecosystem in modern conditions of environmental and demographic challenges is developed using phase space, with the identification of sustainable states of nonlinear systems, limit transition and the areas of evolutionary development. A number of general regularities statistical dynamics of various classes nonlinear continuous systems is researched. These regularities allow to define borders of areas different the ecosystem states, based on limit cyclic transitions and to specify the dynamics of a vector development at bifurcation points. In addition these regularities allow to identify the transformation levels that correspond to the phenomenon of self-sustaining development. The found regularities allow to manage innovative technologies and developmental investment programs of the city to create comfortable and safety urban environment.

Keywords

ecosystem of city, innovative technologies, developmental investment, self-sustaining development, comfortable and safety urban environment, phase space, attractor, limit cycle, vector.

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